Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.197911 1.416408 1.644493 1.898856 2.173184 2.458848 2.777544
2025-01-26 0.930488 1.244461 1.592198 1.999426 2.457413 2.951488 3.519968
2025-02-02 0.809377 1.178463 1.603509 2.116389 2.707283 3.357190 4.117166
2025-02-09 0.724710 1.139900 1.634708 2.246819 2.965754 3.768399 4.718481
2025-02-16 0.635818 1.080591 1.628577 2.322258 3.151122 4.088590 5.209810
2025-02-23 0.540130 0.999619 1.586119 2.346079 3.269561 4.327088 5.604236
2025-03-02 0.420459 0.870338 1.470764 2.270742 3.261878 4.412773 5.817591
2025-03-09 0.316215 0.746999 1.351438 2.180724 3.228503 4.461924 5.983030
2025-03-16 0.244515 0.660402 1.272642 2.135097 3.243432 4.563279 6.204887
2025-03-23 0.207082 0.622924 1.258016 2.169946 3.355921 4.779491 6.560372
2025-03-30 0.167179 0.573958 1.222467 2.173679 3.426799 4.943721 6.852943
2025-04-06 0.125304 0.512068 1.162343 2.140123 3.447185 5.044319 7.067926
2025-04-13 0.112715 0.509227 1.195464 2.240677 3.648226 5.376194 7.572766
2025-04-20 0.103131 0.511490 1.236758 2.353785 3.867527 5.733199 8.111354
2025-04-27 0.097239 0.520607 1.288096 2.480333 4.103739 6.110534 8.673872
2025-05-04 0.094465 0.536553 1.350421 2.622714 4.361180 6.514848 9.269904
2025-05-11 0.082657 0.527503 1.370784 2.704579 4.538757 6.819933 9.746009
2025-05-18 0.064703 0.497027 1.353265 2.730493 4.641515 7.031307 10.108219
2025-05-25 0.038126 0.428004 1.264360 2.648627 4.598212 7.058047 10.244329
2025-06-01 0.018057 0.359536 1.168295 2.550696 4.529318 7.049518 10.334728
2025-06-08 0.007849 0.313494 1.107141 2.500998 4.522305 7.116336 10.514672
2025-06-15 0.004399 0.298347 1.103663 2.538960 4.634811 7.335092 10.881749
2025-06-22 0.001413 0.273966 1.079339 2.543025 4.699641 7.492288 11.172369